Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000955 1.092793e-03 0.001233 0.001385 0.001545 0.001709 0.001887
2025-04-20 0.000652 8.529398e-04 0.001068 0.001313 0.001581 0.001862 0.002178
2025-04-27 0.000420 6.565753e-04 0.000927 0.001250 0.001616 0.002012 0.002467
2025-05-04 0.000294 5.589128e-04 0.000883 0.001287 0.001758 0.002278 0.002886
2025-05-11 0.000168 4.330942e-04 0.000789 0.001253 0.001814 0.002447 0.003198
2025-05-18 0.000065 2.995668e-04 0.000663 0.001168 0.001799 0.002529 0.003410
2025-05-25 0.000016 2.148001e-04 0.000585 0.001131 0.001837 0.002668 0.003683
2025-06-01 NaN 1.412667e-04 0.000505 0.001083 0.001853 0.002776 0.003918
2025-06-08 NaN 9.530057e-05 0.000456 0.001068 0.001908 0.002928 0.004202
2025-06-15 NaN 7.648110e-05 0.000450 0.001114 0.002038 0.003171 0.004591
2025-06-22 NaN 4.597036e-05 0.000408 0.001100 0.002087 0.003312 0.004859
2025-06-29 NaN 2.625233e-05 0.000378 0.001101 0.002154 0.003473 0.005148
2025-07-06 NaN 1.224716e-05 0.000358 0.001126 0.002269 0.003713 0.005558
2025-07-13 NaN 1.086394e-07 0.000299 0.001082 0.002290 0.003841 0.005840
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000244 0.001039 0.002311 0.003970 0.006126
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000237 0.001082 0.002456 0.004258 0.006608
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000198 0.001058 0.002502 0.004420 0.006936
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000142 0.000983 0.002468 0.004476 0.007135
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000110 0.000952 0.002498 0.004613 0.007431
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000078 0.000909 0.002504 0.004717 0.007685
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000061 0.000897 0.002557 0.004882 0.008013
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000060 0.000940 0.002698 0.005164 0.008489
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000045 0.000928 0.002748 0.005323 0.008809